20 Augur Predictions for 2020

2020 has the potential to be a breakthrough year for Augur and open prediction markets. Augur is well-poised to be one of DeFi’s headline success stories this year and one of the first DApps to bring non-crypto-natives to Ethereum. It’s still early days, and there will be growing pains,...

Augur’s Golden Opportunity & Why Market Trumps Everything

“Market Matters Most.” — Marc Andreessen The 2020 election cycle is a dream market for Augur and perhaps the most powerful beachhead available to any DeFi project in the world right now to establish momentum at the dawn of this new decade. Augur is broader than political markets, but this is...

How to Keep up to Speed on Augur
A Quick Guide to the Best Resources

We’re starting to see more content, media and social activity in Augurland, so I wanted to share a list of the best sources to keep a pulse on what’s happening in the space. How many of these you follow will depend on whether you’re a casual spectator, a serious...

How Prediction Markets Work
A Simple Thought Experiment

To get a feel for how prediction markets work, let’s build one…from scratch. We’ll mentally construct a prediction market from the ground up with a simple thought experiment. Let’s say our goal is to make the best prediction possible on some future event. It could be a political election,...

Radically Open Markets

Just as anyone, anywhere, anytime can create a Wikipedia page on anything, anyone, anywhere, anytime can create an Augur market on anything — any verifiable outcome in the universe. And just as anyone can contribute to a Wikipedia page, anyone can contribute to an Augur market by pricing in their unique...

Meet Poyo: An Interview with Augur’s Most Controversial Cat

Poyo has been called a troll, scammer, scheming mastermind and incompetent fool. There’s probably some truth to all of these labels for the controversial Augur trader and self-christened “sof’ cat of predictions.” I first stumbled across Poyo in 2016 when I sighted a whiskered avatar in the comment section...

How to Create Liquid Augur Markets

I recently created what is now the most popular market on Veil, by trading volume: “Will U.S. Presidential Candidate Pete Buttigieg Have One Million or More Twitter Followers on May 1, 2019?” This got me thinking about how to create liquid markets on Augur. A prediction market can concern...

The Three Powers of Augur

Augur has three powers: it can help us predict the future, prepare for the future, and persuade the future. Predict The first thing that comes to mind when most people think of Augur is forecasting future events. By efficiently absorbing both public and private knowledge via financial incentives and...